Fidelis S. Ngoma—Zambia’s democratic space is shrinking rapidly, with significant implications for the ruling party’s prospects in the 2026 General Elections. The erosion of civil liberties, the suppression of opposition voices, and the manipulation of institutions have created a toxic political climate. This shift towards authoritarianism not only undermines the legitimacy of the current government but also breeds resentment among citizens. As the country approaches the 2026 elections, the ruling party must acknowledge that its actions have consequences, and citizens will hold them accountable for the nation’s democratic decline.
The 2026 election will be less about political parties and more about the people of Zambia versus the ruling party. Citizens frustrated with the government’s actions may seek change, recalling how, in 2008, the late President Michael Sata managed to prevent potential civil unrest by addressing his supporters on national TV. This incident serves as a reminder of how volatile the political situation can become.
Solomon Ngoma, a governance expert and Executive Director of the Acton Institute for Policy Analysis Centre (AIPAC), emphasizes that the election must focus on maintaining peace and stability. Regardless of the outcome, there must be a peaceful transfer of power. Losing parties should concede with grace, and the people’s decision should be respected. Failing to prioritize these values will jeopardize Zambia’s future and its political stability.